5
25 forecasters

Will a Fields medalist have spent at least a year trying AI safety research before the following years?

2036
95%
2030
94%
2026
result: No
Top Key Factors
Why winner of biggest prize in maths has decided to work on AI instead | New Scientistnewscientist.com•Aug 4, 2026
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Increases Likelihood
Fields Medalists Trying AI Safety