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28
forecasters
2
0 comments
28 forecasters
Conditional Cup
2 more...
condition
Khamenei Out as Leader of Iran in 2024?
Resolved:
No
28 forecasters
if yes
if no
US Iran War Before 2025?
0%
0%
Resolved:
Annulled
US Iran War Before 2025?
0%
0%
Resolved:
No
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0.2%
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11 comments
75 forecasters
Who will be Iran's Supreme Leader on Jan 1, 2027?
Mojtaba Khamenei
57.7%
Someone else
22.2%
Hassan Khomeini
4.5%
None
3.9%
5 others
29 comments
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Will the Iranian government lose power before 2027?
10%
chance
32 comments
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US controls Tehran in war with Iran
3%
chance
3 comments
11 forecasters
Will the US attack Iran again in the years up to 2032?
2027
40%
2028
30%
2029
10%
2030
8%
2031
7%
8 comments
81 forecasters
Trump Declare War on Iran before 2029?
30%
chance
0 comments
134 forecasters
Non-Test Nuclear Detonation in Iran Before 2027?
1%
chance
22 comments
278 forecasters
Will the United States conduct a ground invasion of Iran before 2027?
15.8%
chance
15 comments
94 forecasters
Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action revived by December 2028?
50%
chance