172 forecasters

Will there be 1000 or more deaths due to armed conflict between Israel and Hezbollah before 2025?

99%chance

99%chance

ResolvedYes

ResolvedYes

The community gave this a 99% chance, and it resolved Yes.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

Sylvain RyanBeck

Opened:

Feb 2, 2024

Closes:

Dec 31, 2024

Resolved:

Sep 23, 2024

Spot Scoring Time:

Feb 4, 2024

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