162 forecasters

Will the submarine cables running through the Red Sea be damaged by a hostile actor before the 15th of March?

1%chance

1%chance

ResolvedNo

ResolvedNo

The community gave this a 1% chance, and it resolved No.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

Opened:

Feb 8, 2024

Closes:

Mar 14, 2024

Resolved:

Mar 15, 2024

Spot Scoring Time:

Feb 11, 2024

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Commercial shipping likely cut Red Sea cables that disrupted internet access, experts say

Associated Press•Sep 9, 2025

Red Sea Cable Damage Disrupts Internet Access for Asia and Middle East

Breitbart•Sep 9, 2025

Undersea cables cut in Red Sea, interrupting internet in the region, as concerns of Houthi attacks grow

New York Post•Sep 8, 2025

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