Question

When will Vanza be available for Cystic Fibrosis patients in England?

7 comments7

Total Forecasters1

Community Prediction

16 Mar 2026

(18 Mar 2025 - 31 Jul 2027)

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CDF

	lower 25%	median	upper 75%	>Jan 2035
community	18 Mar 2025	16 Mar 2026	31 Jul 2027	0.3%
My Prediction	—	—	—	—

Quartiles	community	My Prediction
lower 25%	18 Mar 2025	—
median	16 Mar 2026	—
upper 75%	31 Jul 2027	—
Upper bound
>Jan 2035	0.3%	—

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Authors:

JKitson

Opened:

Feb 7, 2024

Closes:

Jan 1, 2035

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2035

Spot Scoring Time:

Feb 10, 2024

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Authors:

JKitson

Opened:

Feb 7, 2024

Closes:

Jan 1, 2035

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2035

Spot Scoring Time:

Feb 10, 2024

Natural Sciences

Health & Pandemics

Will there be an FDA-approved cure for Type 1 diabetes before January 1, 2032?

50%

Will a new tuberculosis vaccine be approved by the FDA, EMA, or PMDA before 2028?

80%

Will bimagrumab be approved for the treatment of obesity by the FDA or EMA by 2029?

31%