90 forecasters

Will Ariel Henry cease to be Acting Prime Minister or Prime Minister of Haiti before April 1, 2024, for any reason?

99%chance

99%chance

ResolvedYes

ResolvedYes

The community gave this a 99% chance, and it resolved Yes.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

Opened:

Feb 9, 2024

Closes:

Mar 31, 2024

Resolved:

Mar 11, 2024

Spot Scoring Time:

Feb 12, 2024

🏆 Q1 2024 Quarterly Cup 🏆

2024 Leaderboard

Will Nicholas Maduro cease to be president of Venezuela before January 1, 2026?

What will be Benjamin Netanyahu's situation on January 1, 2032?

Non-PM political position

Will Pierre Poilievre become Prime Minister of Canada before 2026?