Question

Will Israel expand its ground invasion to the city of Rafah on or before the first day of Ramadan (before March 12, 2024)?

Resolved:No
Total Forecasters152
Community Prediction
4%
(1% - 7%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 4%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
28.5
Community Peer Score
31.7
Authors:
Opened:Feb 15, 2024
Closes:Mar 11, 2024
Resolves:Mar 13, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Feb 16, 2024