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39 forecasters

9

39 forecasters

Will there be a frontier AI model from the given country before 2035?

India35%

Israel29%

Russia10%

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3 comments28 forecasters

How larger will AI from non-authoritarian states be in 2030?

Current estimate

3.6×10²⁵ FLOP

45 comments468 forecasters

GC to be caused by AI, if it occurs?

9 comments126 forecasters

Who gets nukes by 2035?

Saudi Arabia15%

2 comments24 forecasters

US-China AI Treaty?

21 comments76 forecasters

Will these countries get nukes by 2030?

Saudi Arabia1.2%

Saudi ArabiaAnnulled

9 comments81 forecasters

Total Annual Investment in AI Companies

24 comments98 forecasters

Greatest Computation Used in AI Training

43 comments68 forecasters

First country with more off-Earth territory

United States55%