93 forecasters

Will the winner of the 2024 United States presidential election win the popular vote?

74.9%chance

ResolvedYes

The community gave this a 75% chance, and it resolved Yes.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

Opened:

Mar 11, 2024

Closes:

Nov 4, 2024

Resolved:

Jan 7, 2025

Spot Scoring Time:

Mar 14, 2024