conditional
if yes
if no
Make a Prediction
New PHEIC in 2024? | International Pandemic Treaty before 2025 |
|---|---|
| My Prediction: — | |
| My Prediction: — |
What was the final result? No
Community Peer Score
3.0
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Jan 1, 2024
Closes:Dec 31, 2024
Resolves:Jan 1, 2025
Will the WHO declare H5 avian influenza to be a Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) before 2026?
5%
Will an avian influenza virus in humans be declared a “Public Health Emergency of International Concern” by the World Health Organization before 2030?
66%
Will the 2024 mpox outbreak exceed the 2022-2023 outbreak in confirmed cases?
1%
Authors:
Opened:Jan 1, 2024
Closes:Dec 31, 2024
Resolves:Jan 1, 2025
Will the WHO declare H5 avian influenza to be a Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) before 2026?
5%
Will an avian influenza virus in humans be declared a “Public Health Emergency of International Concern” by the World Health Organization before 2030?
66%
Will the 2024 mpox outbreak exceed the 2022-2023 outbreak in confirmed cases?
1%