121 forecasters

Will combat troops from NATO countries be openly present in Ukraine before 2027 in significant numbers?

14.4%chance

The community sees this as a toss-up.

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Authors:

Opened:

Mar 15, 2024

Closes:

Jan 1, 2027

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2027

Spot Scoring Time:

Mar 18, 2024

NATO Articles 4 and 5: could Ukraine war trigger alliance defense obligations?

USA Today•Sep 10, 2025

Poland shoots down Russian drones: Will NATO enter war in Ukraine?

Al Jazeera•Sep 10, 2025

Euro elites are stuck in Groundhog Day and need to do something different to bring peace to Ukraine

Strategic Culture•Sep 6, 2025

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