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74 forecasters
Will Paul Christiano be publicly confirmed to be joining the US AI Safety Institute before April 1, 2024?
1%chance
ResolvedNo
The community gave this a 1% chance, and it resolved No.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Mar 14, 2024
Closes:Mar 31, 2024
Resolved:Apr 1, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 16, 2024