Questions
Tournaments
Services
News
Questions
Tournaments
Questions
Questions
More
Log in
Sign Up
Log in
Sign Up
1
42
forecasters
2
1 comment
42 forecasters
The Taiwan Tinderbox
1 more...
Will China make an official statement before 2030 saying that it has disavowed use of force as a means for reunification with Taiwan?
Predict
Follow
share
embed
0.1%
chance
Timeline
Histogram
1d
1w
2m
all
Comments (1)
Timeline
Key Factors (0)
Question Info
Similar Questions
No key factors yet
Add some that might influence this forecast.
Add key factor
203 comments
1.1k forecasters
Chinese Control of Half of Taiwan by 2050?
50%
chance
5 comments
43 forecasters
China Nuclear Threat For Taiwan Interference?
22%
chance
3 comments
67 forecasters
Chinese Control of Half of Taiwan by 2030?
13%
chance
14 comments
849 forecasters
China attacks/blockades Taiwan in 2026?
8%
chance
20 comments
164 forecasters
100 Deaths from China/Taiwan Conflict by 2050
69%
chance
23 comments
176 forecasters
Chinese Retaliation US Intervention in Taiwan
66%
chance
5 comments
48 forecasters
US Says Will Use Nukes to Defend Taiwan?
5%
chance
0 comments
11 forecasters
Will the People's Republic of China blockade Taiwan before September 1, 2026?
7.5%
chance