• Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Services
  • News
  • Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Questions
  • Questions
43 forecasters
5
0 comments
43 forecasters
The Taiwan Tinderbox
condition

Xi Jinping Leader of China in 2030?

43 forecasters
if yes
if no

US-China war before 2035?

20%
20%

US-China war before 2035?

15%
15%
if Yes20%
if No15%
No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.
Add key factor

Public Benefit Corporation

Metaculus is an online forecasting platform focusing on topics of global importance.

ExploreQuestionsTournamentsTournaments for AI botsFutureEval
ServicesLaunch a TournamentPrivate InstancesPro Forecasters
CompanyAboutCareersFAQ
ResourcesForecasting ResourcesFor JournalistsAPI
GuidelinesPrivacy PolicyTerms of Use