Question

Will Bryan Caplan win his bet that real gross world product will not exceed 130% of its previous yearly peak for any single year by January 1, 2043?

1
2
Total Forecasters42
Community Prediction
80.1%
(75% - 86%)

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50%
community: 80.1%
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Authors:
srid
Opened:Mar 21, 2024
Closes:Dec 31, 2042
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2043
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 24, 2024
The Bryan Caplan Collection
Economy & Business