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50 forecasters
Will Bryan Caplan win his bet that Russia will not invade a NATO member by June 10, 2040?
75%chance
Authors:
Opened:Mar 21, 2024
Closes:Jun 9, 2040
Scheduled resolution:Jun 10, 2040
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 24, 2024
Will Bryan Caplan win his bet that there will be no civil war in a European country (that wasn't communist in 1988) by 2046?
85% chance
54
Will Russia attack a European NATO member before 2035?
30% chance
37
Will Bryan Caplan win his bet that he will not be mistreated by George Mason University through the end of 2030?
82% chance
28