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66 forecasters
Will Bryan Caplan win his bet that the college enrollment rate will be greater than 26.6% in 2025?
99%chance
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Authors:
Opened:Mar 21, 2024
Closes:Jan 1, 2026
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2026
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 24, 2024
Will the fraction of American 18-24 year-olds enrolled in colleges in 2025 be ≥10% less than were enrolled in 2015?
13% chance
182
Will US undergraduate enrollment decline by more than 10% from 2024 to 2030?
60% chance
15
Longbets series: By 2040 will the percentage of college-aged U.S. citizens who are attending postsecondary educational institutions in the United States drop at least 50% from the level in 2011?
21.9% chance
34