6 comments
13 forecasters
What will be the best score on the WebArena benchmark before 2025?
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Mar 24, 2024
Closes:Dec 31, 2024
Resolved:Jan 28, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 27, 2024
What will be the highest average score among a selected subset of VideoGameBench on January 1, 2028?
43.5%
(22.7 - 78.1)
43.5%
(22.7 - 78.1)
100 forecasters
What will be the best score by an AI on the full Humanity's Last Exam (HLE) before 2026?
51.9%
(40.1 - 62.5)
51.9%
(40.1 - 62.5)
54 forecasters
What will be the best non-human SAT-style score on the hard subset of the QuALITY dataset by January 1, 2030?
96.7%
(92.3 - 98.7)
96.7%
(92.3 - 98.7)
11 forecasters