Questions
Tournaments
Services
News
Questions
Tournaments
Questions
Questions
More
Log in
Sign Up
a
/
文
Log in
Sign Up
3
comments
8
forecasters
How many METR tasks will be completed before 2025?
4
Annulled
6
Annulled
5
Annulled
6 others
31%
Share
Comments
Timeline
Question Info
Timeline
Forecast Timeline
1d
1w
2m
all
4
6
5
Others (6)
Resolution Criteria
Background Info
Follow
embed
Authors:
romeodean
Opened:
Mar 24, 2024
Closes:
Dec 31, 2024
Resolved:
Jan 1, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:
Mar 27, 2024
AI Benchmarks
AI Technical Benchmarks
Artificial Intelligence
🏆 2024 Leaderboard
Similar Questions
Who will win the bet between Gary Marcus and Miles Brundage about the state of AI at the end of 2027?
Gary Marcus
85%
Miles Brundage
15%
76
forecasters
When will an AI model trained with the following orders of magnitude more compute than GPT-4 be released?
8
Mar 2034
6
Jun 2032
4
31 May 2029
1 other
21
forecasters
How many Frontier AI labs will there be on Dec 31, 2025?
6 labs
(4.64 - 8.06)
6 labs
(4.64 - 8.06)
67
forecasters
Show More Questions