Question

Will Bryan Caplan win his bet that there will be no civil war in a European country (that wasn't communist in 1988) by 2046?

5
27
Total Forecasters52
Community Prediction
84%
(80% - 88%)

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50%
community: 84%
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Authors:
pedroacosta
Opened:Mar 21, 2024
Closes:Dec 31, 2045
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2046
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 24, 2024
The Bryan Caplan Collection
Geopolitics