19 comments
34 forecasters
What will be the average annual number of measles cases in the US from 2025 through 2030?
Current estimate
694 cases
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Authors:
Opened:Mar 26, 2024
Closes:Dec 31, 2029
Scheduled resolution:Feb 1, 2031
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 29, 2024
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch
How many measles cases will be reported in the United States in 2025?
1809 cases
(1543 - >2000)
1809 cases
(1543 - >2000)
54 forecasters
What will be the national kindergarten measles vaccination rate in the US for the 2029-2030 school year?
90.6%
(87.4 - 92.7)
90.6%
(87.4 - 92.7)
18 forecasters
What will be the national kindergarten measles vaccination rate in the US for the 2028-2029 school year?
90.5%
(87.7 - 92.9)
90.5%
(87.7 - 92.9)
13 forecasters