14 comments
13 forecasters
What will be the percent change in the number of U.S. law school graduates securing full-time, long-term positions that require passing the bar exam, compared to the class of 2022?
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Opened:Mar 28, 2024
Closes:Aug 31, 2036
Scheduled resolution:Aug 31, 2036
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Will employment in US knowledge-intensive sectors (NAICS 52 and 54) decline by more than 1% in any single month before 2030?
50% chance
3
Will the unemployment rate for recent college graduates in the United States rise to 20% or more for three months before 2030?
34% chance
45
Will the US employment-population ratio fall below the COVID-19 low (51.3%) in any month in the following years, due to AI or otherwise?
45 forecasters