Question
When will GPT-5 be available to the general public?
Resolved:07 Aug 2025 17:00Total Forecasters113
Community Prediction
12 Aug 2025 21:21
(03 Aug 2025 15:42 - 03 Sep 2025)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 03 Aug 2025 15:42 | — |
| median | 12 Aug 2025 21:21 | — |
| upper 75% | 03 Sep 2025 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >01 Jan 2026 | 5.5% | — |
What was the final result?07 Aug 2025 17:00
Community Peer Score
47.0
Community Baseline Score
11.6
Authors:
Opened:Mar 28, 2024
Closes:Jan 1, 2026
Resolves:Jan 1, 2026
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 31, 2024
Authors:
Opened:Mar 28, 2024
Closes:Jan 1, 2026
Resolves:Jan 1, 2026
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 31, 2024
