Authors:
Opened:Mar 28, 2024
Closes:Jan 1, 2026
Resolved:Aug 7, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 31, 2024
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch
When will OpenAI release GPT-6?
09 Mar 2027
(26 Sep 2026 - 15 Dec 2027)
09 Mar 2027
(26 Sep 2026 - 15 Dec 2027)
16 forecasters
When will an AI model trained with the following orders of magnitude more compute than GPT-4 be released?
21 forecasters
When will an AI model trained with the following orders of magnitude more compute than GPT-4 be downloadable by the general public?
11 forecasters