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31 comments
113 forecasters

When will GPT-5 be available to the general public?

community
12 Aug 2025 21:21
result
07 Aug 2025 17:00
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
lbiii
Opened:Mar 28, 2024
Closes:Jan 1, 2026
Resolved:Aug 7, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 31, 2024
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When will OpenAI release GPT-6?

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16 forecasters

When will an AI model trained with the following orders of magnitude more compute than GPT-4 be released?

8
Mar 2034
6
Jun 2032
4
31 May 2029
1 other
21 forecasters

When will an AI model trained with the following orders of magnitude more compute than GPT-4 be downloadable by the general public?

6
Apr 2032
4
Dec 2031
2
17 May 2028
11 forecasters
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