Question
On January 1, 2025, which frontier AI lab will have a publicly available model with the highest score on the MMLU benchmark?
Forecast Timeline
Total Forecasters 41
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| Lab | My Prediction | Me | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OpenAI | 45.18% | |||
Anthropic | 30.8% | |||
Google DeepMind | 19.1% | |||
Other | 2.05% | |||
Meta | 1.95% | |||
Mistral | 0.92% | |||
Total: ?
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