45 comments
54 forecasters
What will be the outcome of Donald Trump's New York "hush money" criminal trial?
Trump found guilty of at least one felonyresult: Yes
Trump found guilty of ONLY misdemeanour(s)1%
Mixed: partial acquittal, no convictions1%
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Apr 2, 2024
Closes:Jun 14, 2024
Resolved:May 30, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Apr 5, 2024
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When will the federal criminal trial of Donald J. Trump begin? (classified documents case)
>01 Jan 2026
(>01 Jan 2026 - >01 Jan 2026)
>01 Jan 2026
(>01 Jan 2026 - >01 Jan 2026)
31 forecasters
When will the D.C. federal criminal trial of Donald J. Trump begin? (election subversion case)
>01 Jan 2026
(>01 Jan 2026 - >01 Jan 2026)
>01 Jan 2026
(>01 Jan 2026 - >01 Jan 2026)
28 forecasters
If Donald Trump is incarcerated or put under house arrest for over 30 days before 2030, what date will his confinement begin?
24 Aug 2029
(27 Jul 2027 - 16 Nov 2029)
24 Aug 2029
(27 Jul 2027 - 16 Nov 2029)
19 forecasters