Question
When will the New York Times publish an article that it claims or acknowledges is 100% written by AI?
Forecast Timeline
Total Forecasters 13
Make a Prediction
| Year | My Prediction | Me | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
In 2024 | 3.7% | |||
In 2025 | 24.8% | |||
In 2026-2027 | 44.6% | |||
In 2028-2029 | 17% | |||
2030 or later | 9.9% | |||
Total: ?
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Authors:
Opened:Apr 9, 2024
Closes:Jan 1, 2030
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2030
Spot Scoring Time:Apr 12, 2024
Authors:
Opened:Apr 9, 2024
Closes:Jan 1, 2030
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2030
Spot Scoring Time:Apr 12, 2024
