46 forecasters

How many Starship launches will reach an altitude of 160 kilometers in 2024?

4result: Yes

1result: No

2result: No

4

1

2

Authors:

Opened:

Apr 8, 2024

Closes:

Jan 1, 2025

Resolved:

Jan 6, 2025

🏆 2024 Leaderboard

When is the next Starship launch? SpaceX working on Version 3 that could reach orbit

USA Today•Oct 15, 2025

Elon Musk’s SpaceX Achieves Successful Starship Test Flight, Paving the Way for Future Missions

Breitbart•Oct 14, 2025

SpaceX’s 11th test flight of mega Starship rocket successfully makes it halfway around world

New York Post•Oct 14, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

How many times will Starship reach an altitude of 160 kilometers in 2025?

Will SpaceX launch the Starship three or more times in the second half of 2025?

How many successful orbital rocket launches will there be in the following years?