Questions
Tournaments
Services
News
Questions
Tournaments
Questions
Questions
More
Log in
Sign Up
Log in
Sign Up
52
110
forecasters
12
52 comments
110 forecasters
Elections
2 more...
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. suspend his 2024 presidential campaign by October 22, 2024?
Follow
share
embed
Resolved
Yes
Timeline
Histogram
1d
1w
2m
all
Comments (52)
Timeline
Key Factors (0)
Question Info
Similar Questions
No key factors yet
Add some that might influence this forecast.
4 comments
3 forecasters
RFK Jr. Gone As HHS Secretary By When?
Current estimate
19 Jan 2028
5 comments
25 forecasters
US States Won by Non-Major Parties in 2028
1%
chance
14 comments
247 forecasters
Who will be the 2028 Republican nominee for President of the United States?
JD Vance
44.8%
Ron DeSantis
4.7%
Marco Rubio
17.7%
Other
27%
4 others
11 comments
240 forecasters
Who will be the 2028 Democratic nominee for President of the United States?
Gavin Newsom
26.1%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
10.4%
Pete Buttigieg
7.4%
Other
43.5%
4 others
2 comments
93 forecasters
Markets give >20% to a twice-elected president's renomination in these years?
2021-2022
result:
No
2023-2024
result:
No
2025-2026
4%
2027-2028
15%
5 comments
50 forecasters
Which party will win the 2028 US presidential election?
Democratic Party
59.9%
Republican Party
40%
Other
0.1%
7 comments
43 forecasters
Donald Trump primary voting factor in 2026 midterms?
99.9%
chance
9 comments
26 forecasters
Sam Altman run for POTUS by 2040
3%
chance