Question
When will OpenAI publicly release Sora, its text-to-video model?
Total Forecasters20
Community Prediction
16 Jul 2025
(07 Apr 2025 - >30 Dec 2025)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 07 Apr 2025 | — |
| median | 16 Jul 2025 | — |
| upper 75% | >30 Dec 2025 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >30 Dec 2025 | 25.5% | — |
No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.
Add key factor
Authors:
Opened:Apr 16, 2024
Closes:Dec 29, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2026
Spot Scoring Time:Apr 19, 2024
Authors:
Opened:Apr 16, 2024
Closes:Dec 29, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2026
Spot Scoring Time:Apr 19, 2024