9 comments
32 forecasters
Will Nebraska legally allocate its electoral votes on a winner-take-all basis in the 2024 presidential election?
0.5%chance
ResolvedNo
The community gave this a 1% chance, and it resolved No.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Apr 16, 2024
Closes:Nov 5, 2024
Resolved:Nov 6, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Apr 19, 2024
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch
Will a second US state adopt a unicameral legislature before January 1, 2050?
30% chance
8
Will anyone other than the Democratic or Republican nominee win a state in the 2028 US presidential election?
1% chance
20
Will a court change the winner of a 2026 election for U.S. House, Senate, or a top statewide office?
15% chance
135