Question
When will an AI model capable of autonomously generating accurate and complete book summaries be commonly available?
Total Forecasters21
Community Prediction
01 Dec 2025
(23 Dec 2024 - 15 Nov 2027)
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CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 23 Dec 2024 | — |
| median | 01 Dec 2025 | — |
| upper 75% | 15 Nov 2027 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >Jan 2035 | 2.8% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Apr 17, 2024
Closes:Dec 30, 2034
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2035
Spot Scoring Time:Apr 20, 2024
Authors:
Opened:Apr 17, 2024
Closes:Dec 30, 2034
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2035
Spot Scoring Time:Apr 20, 2024
