70 comments
118 forecasters
Will there be any reported human-to-human transmission of highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 globally before 2025?
0.7%chance
ResolvedNo
The community gave this a 1% chance, and it resolved No.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Apr 12, 2024
Closes:Dec 31, 2024
Resolved:Jan 8, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Apr 15, 2024