60 forecasters

Will the US, UK, China, or any of the countries in the EU enact a universal basic income before 2030?

5%chance

The community sees this as a toss-up.

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Authors:

will_aldred RyanBeck

Opened:

May 9, 2024

Closes:

Jan 1, 2030

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2030

Spot Scoring Time:

May 12, 2024

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Five years after AGI, will there be universal basic income?

Will a Guaranteed Minimum Income be introduced in any EU country before 2041?

Before 2031, will a G7 country have an active, publicly-funded UBI pilot program covering at least 25,000 people?