US Iran War Before 2025?

conditional

condition

Israel Deadly Attack on Iran Before May 2024?

Resolved:No

30 forecasters

if yes

if no

US Iran War Before 2025?

Resolved:Annulled

US Iran War Before 2025?

Resolved:No

2 comments2

Make a Prediction

Israel Deadly Attack on Iran Before May 2024?	US Iran War Before 2025?
if yes	My Prediction: —
if no	My Prediction: —

50%

community: 1%

What was the final result? No

Community Peer Score

0.5

Forecast Timeline

if Yes

if No

Authors:

NMorrison

Opened:

Apr 13, 2024

Closes:

May 1, 2024

Resolves:

Jan 1, 2025

Israeli Official Issues New Warning About Iran's Nuclear Threat

Newsweek•Jul 11, 2025

As the Smoke Clears, a More Complete Picture of the Massive Damage to Iran's Nuclear Program Takes Shape

PJ Media•Jul 11, 2025

Can Bibi convince Trump to finish the Iran job?

Strategic Culture•Jul 11, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Israel strike the Iranian military in Iran again, before September 2025?

40%

Will any new country attack Israel or Iran between June and December 2025?

Will Iran attack US sites in Iraq before August 2025?

Authors:

NMorrison

Opened:

Apr 13, 2024

Closes:

May 1, 2024

Resolves:

Jan 1, 2025

Israeli Official Issues New Warning About Iran's Nuclear Threat

Newsweek•Jul 11, 2025

As the Smoke Clears, a More Complete Picture of the Massive Damage to Iran's Nuclear Program Takes Shape

PJ Media•Jul 11, 2025

Can Bibi convince Trump to finish the Iran job?

Strategic Culture•Jul 11, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Israel strike the Iranian military in Iran again, before September 2025?

40%