13 comments
15 forecasters
When will monthly global land-surface temperatures fall below record highs?
September 2024result: Yes
After September 20241%
April 20240.1%
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Apr 18, 2024
Closes:Oct 1, 2024
Resolved:Oct 24, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Apr 21, 2024
Will the following years be the warmest year on record, according to NASA?
98 forecasters
Will 2025 be the warmest year on record globally, according to the ECMWF?
2% chance
631
Before 2100, will there be a 5-year period with an average global temperature >3.6˚C warmer than the 1861-1880 baseline?
20% chance
142