112 forecasters

Before 2030, how many new AI labs will be leading labs within 2 years of their founding?

0 or 149.5%

2 or 337.6%

4 or 510.4%

Forecast Timeline

0 or 1

2 or 3

4 or 5

Others (3)

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Authors:

Opened:

May 17, 2024

Closes:

Jan 1, 2030

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2030

Spot Scoring Time:

May 20, 2024

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