33 forecasters

Before 2030, how many new AI labs will be leading labs within 2 years of their founding?

2 or 345.2%

0 or 140.1%

4 or 511.5%

Forecast Timeline

2 or 3

0 or 1

4 or 5

Others (3)

No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.

Authors:

Opened:

May 17, 2024

Closes:

Jan 1, 2030

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2030

Spot Scoring Time:

May 20, 2024

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