Question
Before 2030, how many new AI labs will be leading labs within 2 years of their founding?
Forecast Timeline
Total Forecasters 24
Make a Prediction
| Number | My Prediction | Me | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
0 or 1 | 48.9% | |||
2 or 3 | 36.4% | |||
4 or 5 | 10.5% | |||
6 or 7 | 3.1% | |||
8 or 9 | 0.9% | |||
10 or more | 0.1% | |||
Total: ?
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Authors:
Opened:May 17, 2024
Closes:Jan 1, 2030
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2030
Spot Scoring Time:May 20, 2024
Authors:
Opened:May 17, 2024
Closes:Jan 1, 2030
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2030
Spot Scoring Time:May 20, 2024
