Questions
Tournaments
Services
News

Questions
Tournaments

Questions

Questions

48 forecasters

5

48 forecasters

Environment & Climate

Will 2016 see the smallest extent of Arctic Sea ice in recorded history?

ResolvedNo

No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.

Public Benefit Corporation

Metaculus is an online forecasting platform focusing on topics of global importance.

ExploreQuestions Tournaments Tournaments for AI bots FutureEval

ServicesLaunch a Tournament Private Instances Pro Forecasters

CompanyAboutCareers FAQ

ResourcesForecasting Resources For Journalists API

Guidelines Privacy Policy Terms of Use

19 comments38 forecasters

Minimum Arctic Sea Ice Extent

1 comment1 forecaster

Date of first Blue Ocean Event?

Current estimate

4 comments18 forecasters

Maximum Arctic Sea Ice Extent

14 comments25 forecasters

Minimum Antarctic Sea Ice Extent

17 comments24 forecasters

Maximum Antarctic Sea Ice Extent

46 comments104 forecasters

Which will be the warmest year on record according to NASA?

2024result: Yes

2 comments3 forecasters

Vaquita Extinct by 2100?

Complete Extinction94%

Wild Extinction95%

8 comments148 forecasters

3.6°C Global Warming by 2100