Question

Will 2016 see the smallest extent of Arctic Sea ice in recorded history?

Resolved:No

12 comments12

Total Forecasters48

Community Prediction

75%

(60% - 79%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 75%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

-110.6

Community Peer Score

27.9

Authors:

John_Baez

Opened:

May 4, 2016

Closes:

Jul 1, 2016

Resolves:

Sep 16, 2016

Spot Scoring Time:

May 4, 2016

Environment & Climate

2016 Leaderboard

What will be the minimum arctic sea ice extent in the following years?

3.95

What will be the maximum arctic sea ice extent (in millions km^2) in these years?

14.4

What will be the minimum Antartic sea ice extent (in millions km^2) in these years?

2.19

Authors:

John_Baez

Opened:

May 4, 2016

Closes:

Jul 1, 2016

Resolves:

Sep 16, 2016

Spot Scoring Time:

May 4, 2016

Environment & Climate

2016 Leaderboard

What will be the minimum arctic sea ice extent in the following years?

3.95

What will be the maximum arctic sea ice extent (in millions km^2) in these years?

14.4

What will be the minimum Antartic sea ice extent (in millions km^2) in these years?

2.19