48 forecasters

Will 2016 see the smallest extent of Arctic Sea ice in recorded history?

75%chance

75%chance

ResolvedNo

ResolvedNo

The community gave this a 75% chance, and it resolved No.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

Opened:

May 4, 2016

Closes:

Jul 1, 2016

Resolved:

Sep 16, 2016

Spot Scoring Time:

May 4, 2016

Environment & Climate

2016 Leaderboard

What will be the minimum arctic sea ice extent in the following years?

What will be the maximum arctic sea ice extent (in millions km^2) in these years?

What will be the minimum Antartic sea ice extent (in millions km^2) in these years?