71 forecasters

Will AI capabilities plateau with the next generation (GPT-5, etc.) of language models?

Anthropic / Claude 4 Opusresult: No

Google DeepMind / Gemini 2 Ultra4.2%

OpenAI / GPT-53%

Anthropic / Claude 4 Opus

Google DeepMind / Gemini 2 Ultra

OpenAI / GPT-5

Authors:

Opened:

May 6, 2024

Closed:

Aug 31, 2025

Scheduled resolution:

Sep 1, 2025

Artificial Intelligence

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