Question
When will a carbon price be paid on 50% or more of the world's carbon emissions?
Total Forecasters6
Community Prediction
Jun 2036
(Mar 2032 - Dec 2040)
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CDF
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <22 Apr 2024 | 3.8% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | Mar 2032 | — |
| median | Jun 2036 | — |
| upper 75% | Dec 2040 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >Jan 2050 | 6.6% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Apr 30, 2024
Closes:Dec 30, 2049
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2050
Spot Scoring Time:May 3, 2024
Authors:
Opened:Apr 30, 2024
Closes:Dec 30, 2049
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2050
Spot Scoring Time:May 3, 2024
