2 comments
27 forecasters
Will Ukraine start revoking passports of military draft age men residing abroad before 2026?
1%chance
No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.
Authors:
Opened:Apr 30, 2024
Closes:Dec 29, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2026
Spot Scoring Time:May 3, 2024
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Will Ukraine reduce the minimum age for compulsory military service before 2026?
10% chance
13
When will conscripted Ukrainians be able to demobilize?
12 May 2026
(24 Aug 2025 - 24 Mar 2027)
12 May 2026
(24 Aug 2025 - 24 Mar 2027)
21 forecasters
Will Ukraine launch a nuclear weapons program before 2026?
0.2% chance
242