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33
forecasters
3
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33 forecasters
Conditional Cup
3 more...
condition
2024 US Election Winner to Win Popular Vote?
Resolved:
Yes
33 forecasters
if yes
if no
Democrat Wins 2024 US Presidential Election?
70%
70%
Resolved:
No
Democrat Wins 2024 US Presidential Election?
5%
5%
Resolved:
Annulled
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if No
5%
1 more
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16 comments
161 forecasters
Democrat Wins 2028 US Presidential Election?
61%
chance
5 comments
50 forecasters
Which party will win the 2028 US presidential election?
Democratic Party
59.9%
Republican Party
40%
Other
0.1%
0 comments
30 forecasters
Democrat wins 2026 gubernatorial election in these states?
Ohio
44.5%
Nevada
53%
Kansas
34%
Iowa
58%
13 others
4 comments
4 forecasters
Change in Average Inflation Rate 2028 PV Prediction
"Change in Average Inflation Rate" will correctly predict the 2028 Popular Vote Winner
60%
"Change in Average Inflation Rate" will be below 0% for the 2028 election
40%
11 comments
240 forecasters
Who will be the 2028 Democratic nominee for President of the United States?
Gavin Newsom
26.1%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
10.4%
Pete Buttigieg
7.4%
Other
43.5%
4 others
5 comments
25 forecasters
US States Won by Non-Major Parties in 2028
1%
chance
0 comments
54 forecasters
Democrat Wins 2026 Senate Election in these states?
Georgia
83%
Iowa
37%
Maine
70%
Michigan
74%
19 others
8 comments
25 forecasters
GOP Prez Nominee Win Massachusetts
2024
result:
No
2028
1%
2032
5%
2036
5%
5 others