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33 forecasters
3
0 comments
33 forecasters
Conditional Cup
condition

2024 US Election Winner to Win Popular Vote?

Resolved:Yes
33 forecasters
if yes
if no

Democrat Wins 2024 US Presidential Election?

70%
70%
Resolved:No

Democrat Wins 2024 US Presidential Election?

5%
5%
Resolved:Annulled
if No5%
No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.

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16 comments161 forecasters

Democrat Wins 2028 US Presidential Election?

61%chance
5 comments50 forecasters

Which party will win the 2028 US presidential election?

Democratic Party59.9%
Republican Party40%
Other0.1%
0 comments30 forecasters

Democrat wins 2026 gubernatorial election in these states?

Ohio44.5%
Nevada53%
Kansas34%
Iowa58%
13 others
4 comments4 forecasters

Change in Average Inflation Rate 2028 PV Prediction

"Change in Average Inflation Rate" will correctly predict the 2028 Popular Vote Winner60%
"Change in Average Inflation Rate" will be below 0% for the 2028 election40%
11 comments240 forecasters

Who will be the 2028 Democratic nominee for President of the United States?

Gavin Newsom26.1%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez10.4%
Pete Buttigieg7.4%
Other43.5%
4 others
5 comments25 forecasters

US States Won by Non-Major Parties in 2028

1%chance
0 comments54 forecasters

Democrat Wins 2026 Senate Election in these states?

Georgia83%
Iowa37%
Maine70%
Michigan74%
19 others
8 comments25 forecasters

GOP Prez Nominee Win Massachusetts

2024result: No
20281%
20325%
20365%
5 others