Question

Will marijuana be voted legal in California in 2016?

Resolved:Yes

6 comments6

Total Forecasters176

Community Prediction

88%

(75% - 93%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 88%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

70.3

Community Peer Score

17.6

Authors:

MattSevrens

Opened:

Jun 12, 2016

Closes:

Nov 1, 2016

Resolves:

Nov 9, 2016

Spot Scoring Time:

Jun 13, 2016

Elections

Law

2016 Leaderboard

Will marijuana be legal for recreational use in a supermajority of these strongly Republican US states before 2041?

90%

By 2032, will the California Constitution be amended to restrict the state's authority to set zoning policy?

45%

Will federal legislation be passed before the 2026 midterm elections offering immunity to banks providing financial services to legal marijuana businesses?

10%