8 comments
136 forecasters
Will an independent conservative candidate gain a significant number of votes in the 2016 US Presidential election?
4%chance
ResolvedNo
The community gave this a 4% chance, and it resolved No.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Jun 2, 2016
Closes:Oct 8, 2016
Resolved:Nov 9, 2016
Spot Scoring Time:Jun 3, 2016