Question

Apple virtual/augmented reality by 2020?

Resolved:No

24 comments24

Total Forecasters294

Community Prediction

52%

(33% - 64%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 52%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Peer Score

35.5

Authors:

GarrettLisi

Opened:

May 13, 2016

Closes:

Jun 2, 2018

Resolves:

Jan 3, 2021

Spot Scoring Time:

May 13, 2016

Technology

Computing and Math

2016-2020 Leaderboard

Apple could be planning 7 new devices to take on Meta’s Ray-Bans and Quest 3 – here’s what they could be

•Jun 30, 2025

Apple has an incredibly ambitious roadmap for smart glasses and headsets, report claims

•Jun 30, 2025

Apple is reportedly working on a bunch of new XR devices

Verge•Jun 30, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will more than 50% of US adults own a personal augmented reality device by 2050?

60.9%

When will at least 1% of people in any major city or country have experienced using augmented reality outside?

26 Nov 2029

When will 6DoF enabled virtual and augmented reality headset sales exceed 50 million units per year?

Nov 2030

Authors:

GarrettLisi

Opened:

May 13, 2016

Closes:

Jun 2, 2018

Resolves:

Jan 3, 2021

Spot Scoring Time:

May 13, 2016

Technology

Computing and Math

2016-2020 Leaderboard

Apple could be planning 7 new devices to take on Meta’s Ray-Bans and Quest 3 – here’s what they could be

•Jun 30, 2025

Apple has an incredibly ambitious roadmap for smart glasses and headsets, report claims

•Jun 30, 2025

Apple is reportedly working on a bunch of new XR devices

Verge•Jun 30, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will more than 50% of US adults own a personal augmented reality device by 2050?

60.9%

When will at least 1% of people in any major city or country have experienced using augmented reality outside?

26 Nov 2029

When will 6DoF enabled virtual and augmented reality headset sales exceed 50 million units per year?

Nov 2030