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Question

Apple virtual/augmented reality by 2020?

Resolved:No
48
24 comments24
Total Forecasters294
Community Prediction
52%
(33% - 64%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 52%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
-58.5
Community Peer Score
35.5
Authors:
GarrettLisi
Opened:May 13, 2016
Closes:Jun 2, 2018
Resolves:Jan 3, 2021
Spot Scoring Time:May 13, 2016
Computing and Math
Technology
2016-2020 Leaderboard
Apple Inc.
Augmented reality
Simulated reality
Virtual reality
Information technology
Philosophy
Apple electric car project
In the XR game now: Meta, Apple, Google and now Samsung. Next will be Amazon? Summer Galaxy Unpacked will be in early July. The headset will arrive in the fall Samsung Magazin
•Jun 24, 2025
Apple working on under-display face ID, all-screen iPhone for 20th anniversary: Mark Gurman
•Jun 23, 2025
Apple to bring all-screen iPhone in two phases, full rollout expected by 2027
•Jun 23, 2025
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will more than 50% of US adults own a personal augmented reality device by 2050?

60.9%

When will at least 1% of people in any major city or country have experienced using augmented reality outside?

26 Nov 2029

When will 6DoF enabled virtual and augmented reality headset sales exceed 50 million units per year?

Nov 2030
Authors:
GarrettLisi
Opened:May 13, 2016
Closes:Jun 2, 2018
Resolves:Jan 3, 2021
Spot Scoring Time:May 13, 2016
Computing and Math
Technology
2016-2020 Leaderboard
Apple Inc.
Augmented reality
Simulated reality
Virtual reality
Information technology
Philosophy
Apple electric car project
In the XR game now: Meta, Apple, Google and now Samsung. Next will be Amazon? Summer Galaxy Unpacked will be in early July. The headset will arrive in the fall Samsung Magazin
•Jun 24, 2025
Apple working on under-display face ID, all-screen iPhone for 20th anniversary: Mark Gurman
•Jun 23, 2025
Apple to bring all-screen iPhone in two phases, full rollout expected by 2027
•Jun 23, 2025
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will more than 50% of US adults own a personal augmented reality device by 2050?

60.9%

When will at least 1% of people in any major city or country have experienced using augmented reality outside?

26 Nov 2029

When will 6DoF enabled virtual and augmented reality headset sales exceed 50 million units per year?

Nov 2030
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