Question

Apple virtual/augmented reality by 2020?

Resolved:No

24 comments24

Total Forecasters294

Community Prediction

52%

(33% - 64%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 52%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Peer Score

35.5

Community Baseline Score

-58.5

Authors:

GarrettLisi

Opened:

May 13, 2016

Closes:

Jun 2, 2018

Resolves:

Jan 3, 2021

Spot Scoring Time:

May 13, 2016

Technology

Computing and Math

2016-2020 Leaderboard

Nano Banana AI, Rec Room Halfs Staff, Adobe Axes Aero, Red 6 Lands A Whale

Forbes•Aug 29, 2025

Apple’s foldable iPhone will have some MAJOR design changes, fresh leak reveals

Daily Mail•Aug 26, 2025

Apple plotting iPhone lineup overhaul, including ‘foldable’ version by 2026: report

New York Post•Aug 25, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will more than 50% of US adults own a personal augmented reality device by 2050?

60%

When will at least 1% of people in any major city or country have experienced using augmented reality outside?

26 Nov 2029

When will 6DoF enabled virtual and augmented reality headset sales exceed 50 million units per year?

Mar 2031

Authors:

GarrettLisi

Opened:

May 13, 2016

Closes:

Jun 2, 2018

Resolves:

Jan 3, 2021

Spot Scoring Time:

May 13, 2016

Technology

Computing and Math

2016-2020 Leaderboard

Nano Banana AI, Rec Room Halfs Staff, Adobe Axes Aero, Red 6 Lands A Whale

Forbes•Aug 29, 2025

Apple’s foldable iPhone will have some MAJOR design changes, fresh leak reveals

Daily Mail•Aug 26, 2025

Apple plotting iPhone lineup overhaul, including ‘foldable’ version by 2026: report

New York Post•Aug 25, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will more than 50% of US adults own a personal augmented reality device by 2050?

60%

When will at least 1% of people in any major city or country have experienced using augmented reality outside?

26 Nov 2029

When will 6DoF enabled virtual and augmented reality headset sales exceed 50 million units per year?

Mar 2031