87 forecasters

Will the National Ignition Facility announce a shot at break-even fusion by start of 2017?

20%chance

ResolvedNo

The community gave this a 20% chance, and it resolved No.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

Opened:

May 19, 2016

Closes:

Sep 1, 2016

Resolved:

Jan 1, 2017

Spot Scoring Time:

May 20, 2016