Question

Will NASA (re)join the (e)LISA space mission for detecting gravitational waves?

Resolved:No

11 comments11

Total Forecasters69

Community Prediction

48%

(40% - 60%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 48%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

11.8

Community Peer Score

25.3

Authors:

Adrian

Opened:

May 25, 2016

Closes:

Dec 15, 2016

Resolves:

Jul 1, 2018

Spot Scoring Time:

May 26, 2016

Natural Sciences

Space

2016-2020 Leaderboard

Will a space-based interferometer detect a gravitational wave background attributable to cosmological sources?

53%

Will a third LIGO detector be built in India before 2028?

28%

Will gravitational waves from the merger of supermassive black holes be detected by November 30, 2027?

67%