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4
29
forecasters
2
4 comments
29 forecasters
๐ Q2 2024 Quarterly Cup ๐
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Who will win Jeopardy! Masters 2024?
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Victoria Groce
result:
Yes
James Holzhauer
23.1%
Yogesh Raut
32.6%
Amy Schneider
2.1%
2 others
Forecast Timeline
1d
1w
2m
all
Comments (4)
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5 comments
23 forecasters
IMO AI Prize
2026
78%
2027
17%
2028 or later
3%
2024 or before
result:
No
2025
result:
No
9 comments
21 forecasters
Who will win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship?
Charles Leclerc
12.3%
George Russell
30.6%
Kimi Antonelli
34.6%
Max Verstappen
7.6%
19 others
8 comments
30 forecasters
Highest GPQA Diamond Score 2024 to 2027
15 comments
81 forecasters
2027 AI Bet winner between Gary Marcus and Miles Brundage?
Gary Marcus
88%
Miles Brundage
12%
11 comments
168 forecasters
AI system beat human pros in forecasting tournament by 2030?
98%
chance
1 comment
84 forecasters
Tour de France 2026 Winner?
Tadej Pogaฤar
50.9%
Jonas Vingegaard
26.5%
Remco Evenepoel
8.2%
Other
5.1%
3 others
8 comments
57 forecasters
Highest score among a selected subset of VideoGameBench on Jan 1, 2028?
Current estimate
42.6%
4 comments
4 forecasters
Next US Male Singles Tennis World No. 1
Current estimate
Jul 2035